Bihar Election 2025: Voting Concludes as AI Exit Poll Predicts Clear Shift in Public Mood

Bihar has completed voting for the Assembly Election, with long queues visible at polling centers since early morning. Elections have always been considered the backbone of democracy, but the 2025 polls have introduced a major shift in how public sentiment is measured. This time, instead of relying solely on traditional surveys and manual field estimates, an AI-driven exit poll model has been used to understand voter preference. The system not only processes data at high speed but also minimizes human bias and sampling errors, offering a clearer and more balanced reflection of the voting mood.

The Role of AI and Data Modeling
The AI-based exit poll uses machine learning and statistical modeling to analyze voting patterns in real time. It studies a wide pool of voter inputs, historical election behavior, local political dynamics and candidate influence. Based on this dataset, the model generates seat projections, vote share trends and constituency-wise performance estimates. Because it evaluates thousands of data points simultaneously, analysts are calling it more reliable and consistent than traditional exit poll methods. This approach marks an evolution in how election outcomes are studied and anticipated in Indian politics.

Question 1. According to AI, who will benefit from more voting? 

A. Grand Alliance 24%
B. NDA 47%
C. Jansuraj 03 to 04%
D. Don't know 25 to 26%

Q. 2 What was the biggest voting issue? 

A. SIR 27% 
B. Corruption 2%
C. Law and order 27%
D. Migration 4%
E. Free scheme 30%
F. Government work 10%

Question 3: On which issue did women vote the most? 

A. 10,000 rupees aid (70%)
B. Employment for every household (8%)
C. Prohibition of liquor (10%)
D. Law and order (12%)

Question 4: Was Nitish Kumar's health a factor in the election for the JDU? 

A. Yes 70% 
B. No 22% 
C. Can't say 8%

Question 5. Was Nitish Kumar's health a factor in the elections for NDA? 

A. Yes 40% 
B. No 34% 
C. Can't say 26%

Question 6: Who is responsible for the tussle over seats in the Grand Alliance? 

A. BJP 70%
B. JDU 20%
C. Congress 3%
D. RJD 0.6%
E. VIP 02.4 to 04.4%
F. JSP 2 to 4%

Question 7. What will PK emerge as in this election?
  
A. Kingmaker 06%
B. Vote Cutter 74%
C. Can't Say 20%

Question 8. Did the public think P.K. made a mistake by not contesting the elections? 

A. Yes 40% 
B. No 30%
C. Can't say 30%  

Question 9. How happy is the public with Nitish's work? 

A. Very happy 16%
B. Normal 40%
C. Not happy 24%
D. Can't say 20%

Question 10. If NDA wins, will Nitish Kumar become the Chief Minister? 
A. Yes 90%
B. No 04%
C. Can't say 06% 

Question 11. How will JDU perform compared to the last election? 

A. Better 30% 
B. Worse 30%
C. Can't say 40% 

Question 12. How right or wrong was the decision to field Maithili Thakur in the elections? 

A. Right 27% 
B. Wrong 23% 
C. Can't say 50%

Question 13. How much damage will Tej Pratap cause to Tejashwi? 

A. Very much 70% 
B. Moderately 10% 
C. Nothing 05% 
D. Can't say 15% 

Question 14. The best work of the government in the eyes of the public? 

A. Development 15% 
B. Free Scheme 40%
C. Law and Order 40%
D. Prohibition 05% 

Question 15. Who will be negatively affected by the Mokama incident? 

A. NDA 30%
B. Grand Alliance 20%
C. It won't make any difference 40% 
D. Can't say 10%

Question 16. Who would the people of Bihar prefer as Chief Minister? 

A. Nitish Kumar 44%  
B. Tejashwi Yadav 24% 
C. Samrat Chaudhary 03%
D. Vijay Sinha 03% 
E. Prashant Kishore 09% 
F. Others 17% 

Question 17. What will be Owaisi's influence in Seemanchal? 

A. Very much 40% 
B. Moderately 30% 
C. Nothing at all 16% 
D. Can't say 14% 

Question 18. How big a factor will Modi be in the Bihar elections? 

A. Very large 74%
B. Moderate 16%
C. Not a factor 07%
D. Can't say 03%

Vote percentage
NDA: 44 to 50 percent 
Grand Alliance: 34 to 40 percent 
Others: 16 to 40 percent 

Who will get how many seats? 
NDA 140 to 170 
BJP seats under NDA 70 to 90 
JDU 30 to 40
HAM 2 to 5
LJP(R) 14 to 18
RLM 3 to 4 

Who will get how many seats? 
Grand Alliance: 60 to 90 
RJD: 55 to 70 
Congress: 7 to 12 
VIP: 4 to 5
CPI(ML): 4 to 8 
CPI(M): 0 to 1 
CPI: 0 to 1 
(LEFT): 04 to 10

Who will get how many seats? 

Jansuraj 03 to 05
AIMIM 01 to 04 
Others 02 to 04

Hot seats in Bihar elections 

1. Tarapur Assembly constituency: 
Samrat Chaudhary, BJP, will win; 
Arun Kumar, RJD, will lose 

2. Lakhisarai Assembly: 
A close contest between these two 
? - Vijay Kumar Sinha, BJP. 
A close contest between these two? - Amresh Kumar Anish, Congress. Loss 

3. Raghopur Assembly:
Tejashwi Yadav, RJD, will win; 
Satish Kumar Yadav, BJP, will  lose;
Chanchal Singh, Jansuraj, will lose;
Prem Yadav, JJD, will lose 

4. Alinagar Assembly constituency: 
Maithili Thakur (BJP) will win

5. Gaya Assembly constituency: 
  Prem Kumar (BJP) will win 
 6. Akhori constituency: Omkar Nath (Congress) will lose 7. 
 Dhirendra Agrawal (JSP) will lose 

6. Belagnj Assembly constituency: 
Manorama Devi (JDU) will win; 
Vishwanath Kumar Singh (RJD) will lose 

7. Bihar Sharif Assembly constituency: 
Dr. Sunil Kumar (BJP) will win

8. Waris Aliganj Assembly constituency: 
Aruna Devi, BJP, will win 

9. Mahua Assembly Constituency
: Close contest  
Sanjay Kumar Singh, LJP(R), ahead 
Mukesh Kumar Roshan, RJD, behind 
Tej Pratap Yadav, JJD, behind 

10. Mokama Assembly constituency: 
Anant Kumar Singh (JDU) will win; 
Veena Devi (RJD) will lose 

11. Raghunathpur Assembly Constituency 
: Close contest; 
Vikas Kumar Singh (JDU) leading 
; Osama (RJD) trailing